Capital has discussed the New Year-End scenarios of sectors and companies...

Every day due to a new development, both in the world and in Turkey, the waters are not concentrated. In addition to the fact that there is a great uncertainty about tomorrow, it is more difficult to do business for the whole business world than ever before. Looking at the general picture in the business world, it would not be wrong to say that 2016 is a very difficult test for everyone. In this difficult test, some sectors face contraction, while others have to slow down. However, there are also those who continue their way despite the current table, and even perform quite well... we have tried to demonstrate how the business world has been affected by the critical developments that took place this year as capital until now. We discussed the new scenarios of sectors and companies for the rest of the year. 

THOSE WHO WAIT FOR CONTRACTION 
At the beginning of 2016, some sectors reset their growth expectations and even made predictions for contraction. Tourism is one of the top of these sectors. In the first half of the year, the sector is estimated to be reduced by 25 percent. Again, according to the net figures, the number of tourists coming to Antalya in the same period decreased by 47 percent. Although the crisis with Russia is resolved, tourists think it is difficult to grow in the sector. Hilton Dalaman General Manager Tunç Batum, especially in CIS (Commonwealth of Independent States) countries are stressed that the economic crisis is continuing. ” We have a chance to catch the 2015 BDT occupancy in 2017, but I think it will happen in 2018 if we reach the occupancy in 2014, " he says. This year, the construction and real estate sector faced a contraction. The sector shrunk by 4 percent in the first 6 months. However, job REITs officials, Housing interest rates to be reduced to a new acceleration in the sector, he said. They think at least last year's numbers will be captured in the second half. IT sector is having trouble this year. According to IDC data, the sector contracted 20 percent in the first three months of the year. “As of July, there are events and currency fluctuations that we live as a country, " said Filiz Akda, General Manager of HP Turkey. Economic and political uncertainties lead to a decrease in confidence in the consumer segment and a decrease in demand. As investments in the public and private sectors are delayed, acquisitions in the IT sector are slowing down. As for the financing side, the terms extended by 30 percent compared to the same period last year. There are difficulties in collection. Problems in a few companies can have a domino effect. There is a serious contraction in credit and financing."Anatolian Health Center General Director Turkan Özilhan trader also said that the problems experienced in domestic and international patient portfolios have a certain impact. “We think this will lead to a contraction in the sector,” he says. 

SLOWDOWN SIGNALS
On the other hand, growth performance of many sectors has declined. Plastic, industrial kitchen and ready-to-wear sectors that slow down in growth due to recent developments... the plastic sector, which is expecting double-digit growth, grew by 8-9 percent in the first half. SEM plastic General Manager Yavuz Eroğlu, terrorist acts both because of the tension experienced with Russia and the company thinks that they will close the year with an increase of 8 percent. The automotive subsidiary industry also reduced its growth targets. This year, 6 percent of the sector predicted a growth of 6-8 percent in the first half of the year, indicating that a growth is recorded Sio Automotive general manager Kemal Görgüngel, does not speak very positive about the end of the year. July sales remain too late due to the growth in the sector will be 3 percent, he said. They also expect the same growth rate, he adds. Sarkusan Chairman of the board Hayrettin teyci 4-5 percent in the first half of the sector growth, but the second half of these figures appear to be a weak possibility to obtain, he said. Anadolu informatics services general manager Yakup Kadri Ünal, 15 - 20 percent of the growth in their sector at the beginning of the year, he thinks will not occur. He says that growth will be below 15 percent by the end of the year. Erol Bilecik, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Index, said they entered 2016 with an 18 percent growth target and predicted that the sector will grow by 5 percent. In the first 6 months 15 percent of Bilecik explaining that they grow, " we see rapid normalization. If the positive weather persists, perhaps only a few points behind expectations,” he says.  

On the other hand, growth performance of many sectors has declined. Plastic, industrial kitchen and ready-to-wear sectors that slow down in growth due to recent developments... the plastic sector, which is expecting double-digit growth, grew by 8-9 percent in the first half. SEM plastic General Manager Yavuz Eroğlu, terrorist acts both because of the tension experienced with Russia and the company thinks that they will close the year with an increase of 8 percent. The automotive subsidiary industry also reduced its growth targets. This year, 6 percent of the sector predicted a growth of 6-8 percent in the first half of the year, indicating that a growth is recorded Sio Automotive general manager Kemal Görgüngel, does not speak very positive about the end of the year. July sales remain too late due to the growth in the sector will be 3 percent, he said. They also expect the same growth rate, he adds. Sarkusan Chairman of the board Hayrettin teyci 4-5 percent in the first half of the sector growth, but the second half of these figures appear to be a weak possibility to obtain, he said. Anadolu informatics services general manager Yakup Kadri Ünal, 15 - 20 percent of the growth in their sector at the beginning of the year, he thinks will not occur. He says that growth will be below 15 percent by the end of the year. Erol Bilecik, Chairman of the Board of Directors of Index, said they entered 2016 with an 18 percent growth target and predicted that the sector will grow by 5 percent. In the first 6 months 15 percent of Bilecik explaining that they grow, " we see rapid normalization. If the positive weather persists, perhaps only a few points behind expectations,” he says.  

THERE ARE THOSE WHO HAVE SURVIVED. 
Some sectors did not have to go to revision on growth. Growth in these sectors took place at the level of expectations. Turkcell, the leading player in the GSM sector, has achieved growth within its plans. Indicating that they grew by 8.9 percent in the first half, Turkcell Deputy General Manager Bülent Aksu stated that they maintained their growth expectations in the range of 8-10 percent for the year. “We believe that the sector will be able to achieve similar growth rates for this year. 4.5 G Investments have already added dynamism to the growth sector." The diamond sector will also maintain its presence this year. Aris Diamond Chairman Kerim güzelş said that the first two quarters of this year was caught last year, and said that there was a recession in the third quarter due to non-sector developments. “As a company, we foresee that we will see the end of the year with 10 percent growth in line with our target. We think that the sector will protect the existence,” he said. Şirzat Subaşı, head of AGT sales and marketing, thinks they will complete this year in line with their expectations. Estimating that the sector will grow by 8-10 percent, Subaşı, they themselves will continue to grow over the sector while maintaining their expectations at the beginning of the year, he said. Life chemistry officials say that the growth targets they set for both the industry and themselves are still valid. Cleaning paper industry 10 percent, they say they will grow 40 percent. 

THEY HAVE EXCEEDED TARGETS 
Despite everything, there are also very good performing sectors. There are good news about rapid consumer goods, transportation, insurance, e-commerce and growth in some categories of apparel. Gittigidiyor General Manager Öğret Kantarcı, the sector is in good shape at the moment expressed. “In 2016, we foresee sector growth at 25-30 percent. As a company, we aim to grow 40 percent this year.” Morhipo General Manager şule Kuban Arditti believes that the growth rate of the sector will increase depending on the rate of increase in Internet and mobile usage in Turkey. It explains that they entered with a growth target of 50 percent per year and grew by 75 percent in the first 6 months. On New Year's Eve, Penti Chairman Sami kiplo predicted that they would grow by 26 percent and 15-20 percent, and even the company said they would grow by around 30 percent. Asset management in the individual retirement sector grew 14 percent in the first 6 months. “This growth performance is expected to continue in the second half of the year,” said Meral eredenk Kurdaş, general manager of AvivaSA. Ersin Pak, Assistant General Manager of Allianz Turkish financial affairs, says that despite the growth expectations of 13-14 percent for non-life insurance this year, the sector grew 38 percent. “We also recorded 53 percent growth. 30 percent of the industry at the end of the year, Turkey's Allianz around 40 percent of the year with a growth rate we foresee closing the year,” he said. Un Ro-Ro CEO Sedat gümüşoğlu, the sector 2 percent growth from the beginning of New Year's growth is expected to show 8 percent. "Looking at the current trend, we predict that we will reach a 15 percent growth rate by the end of 2016. We expect the sector to close the year with a growth of 5-10 percent.”  

DIFFERENT ACTIONS ENABLED